Half-Gauge-Platinum
0x3439a760b679e85bdd408681a2838d99aebc930f
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$404.69
Total PnL
$-37.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$104.08
$4.08
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$100.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$100.61
$0.61
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$99.04
$-0.96
- UZBEKISTAN
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Team to Take First Corner
93 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
9 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$64.58Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$116.28Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$31.48Jun 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Team to Take First Corner$30.83Jun 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Team to Take First Corner$24.14Jun 23, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Team to Take First Corner$24.53Jun 23, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Team to Take First Corner$1.01Jun 23, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Team to Take First Corner$1.02Jun 23, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$4.22Jun 23, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$4.11Jun 23, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$4.22Jun 23, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$4.10Jun 23, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$4.35Jun 23, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$4.04Jun 23, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$101.44Jun 23, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$101.53Jun 23, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$100.54Jun 23, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$101.44Jun 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$100.42Jun 23, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$0.08Jun 23, 04:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $19.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 10:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.