Terrible-Lid
0x343c1c90041375953cb49440a2a6291927106fcd
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-49.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7AM ET$9.90Sep 9, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sri Lanka win on 2025-09-09?$40.00Sep 9, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2025-09-09?$44.40Sep 9, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2025-09-09?$20.00Sep 9, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMVikings vs. Bears$25.45Sep 9, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYVikings vs. Bears$14.00Sep 8, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$0.00May 19, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$0.00May 19, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMNew Pope in 2025?$5.95May 19, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?$8.06Apr 7, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before March?$0.00Mar 6, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 21-28?$0.00Mar 6, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on February 26?$0.00Feb 27, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 54-55°F on February 26?$0.00Feb 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 54-55°F on February 26?$4.70Feb 26, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on February 26?$5.00Feb 26, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on February 25?$9.52Feb 26, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on February 25?$4.00Feb 25, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 21-28?$5.00Feb 25, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February 25?$8.36Feb 25, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $11.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 9, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.