Meager-Process
0x343c37a0e4d670f0c9069cbd20ec149fe298a9a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-326.80
Realised
$-7.67
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more?
1671 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "The Lost Bus" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
1565 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?
1410 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on February 7?
711 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- FLUXO W7M
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winner
468 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Leavitt say "NATO" during the next press briefing?
279 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Toretske by February 28?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 12?$5.00Jul 12, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$8.00Jul 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?$2.00Jul 12, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 12?$2.00Jul 12, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$7.05Jul 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$1.96Jul 11, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 11?$1.46Jul 11, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 11?$0.41Jul 11, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 12?$0.12Jul 11, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 11?$1.87Jul 11, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$5.39Jul 11, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$5.68Jul 11, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$5.75Jul 11, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$5.43Jul 11, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-11?$5.44Jul 11, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$5.68Jul 11, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$5.75Jul 11, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A$5.61Jul 11, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C$5.61Jul 11, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$5.23Jul 11, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.