Tangible-Renaissance
0x3447235725b0270e542ab4f0fd01498052684d3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$38.46
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
30 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$29.71
$-0.01
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.74
$-0.65
- GIANTS
Giants vs. Broncos
2000 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-460.00
- WIZARDS
Cavaliers vs. Wizards
1900 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-228.00
- YES
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?
1500 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-420.00
- MARINERS
Mariners vs. Blue Jays
1300 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-598.00
- RANGERS
Wild vs. Rangers
1300 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-741.00
- CHIEFS
Chargers vs. Chiefs
1000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-710.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?
700 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-630.00
- YES
Will West Ham vs. Brentford end in a draw?
400 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-116.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$29.73Jul 22, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$30.00Jul 22, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$9.41Jun 29, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.78Jun 8, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$29.55May 16, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$6.71May 16, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$42.00May 16, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$40.57Apr 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$7.00Apr 17, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$40.00Apr 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$6.72Mar 10, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$9.50Feb 24, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$28.50Feb 24, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$13.50Feb 1, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$2.70Jan 7, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$6.00Jan 7, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?$420.00Dec 14, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYChargers vs. Chiefs$710.00Dec 14, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?$630.00Dec 14, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMBlackhawks vs. Blues$750.00Dec 14, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $293.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 12:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.