0x345865feddbda373415e0a204058bda9e5a88a62
0x345865feddbda373415e0a204058bda9e5a88a62
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$4.90
Total PnL
$-37.42
Realised
$1.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 13?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$3.10
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 13?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$1.80
$0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 10?
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- OVER
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5
8 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- PORTUGAL
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
7 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 11?
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- OVER
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 13?$0.29Jul 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 13?$0.51Jul 12, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 13?$1.20Jul 12, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$3.00Jul 12, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$5.60Jul 12, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5$2.00Jul 11, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5$1.99Jul 11, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: England O/U 1.5$1.98Jul 11, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 11?$5.00Jul 11, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 13?$3.12Jul 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 13?$1.68Jul 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: England O/U 1.5$1.49Jul 11, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$2.99Jul 11, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$1.46Jul 11, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$5.39Jul 11, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?$10.00Jul 11, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 10?$10.00Jul 11, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$2.55Jul 10, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$2.00Jul 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$1.10Jul 10, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.