Brave-Relay
0x3468375cbce77260779805706a06a5d326163965
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-914.29
Realised
$-181.56
Win rate
2%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
41 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
41 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
24 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
22 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?
20 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
19 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or higher on May 15?
18 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 22?$2.77Jul 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 22?$2.89Jul 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 22?$3.27Jul 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 22?$1.01Jul 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 22?$1.01Jul 21, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 22?$1.01Jul 21, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 22?$1.01Jul 21, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 22?$1.01Jul 21, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 22?$1.01Jul 21, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 22?$2.03Jul 21, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 22?$2.04Jul 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 22?$2.03Jul 21, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 22?$2.02Jul 21, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 22?$2.03Jul 21, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 22?$2.03Jul 21, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 21?$2.77Jul 21, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 21?$2.22Jul 21, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 21?$2.25Jul 21, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 21?$2.66Jul 21, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 21?$2.89Jul 21, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 54 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
54 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 05:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.