Robust-Croissant
0x346da00fbd8d3037afa29aeb158d48867822390c
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-118.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
132 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
108 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?
62 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?
59 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
50 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
44 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?$8.00Jan 14, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$5.00Jan 11, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 11, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 11, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.20Oct 28, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Oct 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by October 31?$4.00Oct 27, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$5.00Oct 27, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$5.00Oct 27, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMElon out of Trump administration before July?$11.90Oct 11, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$21.74Oct 11, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$20.00Oct 11, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?$5.00Jun 1, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$5.00Jun 1, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$5.00Jun 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?$20.00Jun 1, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$5.00Apr 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon out of Trump administration before July?$5.00Apr 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 25?$5.00Apr 25, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $6.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 13:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".