Worrisome-Growth-Bond
0x3477249a4ba426721bad2424741acab14f243d1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
129
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$418.08
Win rate
77%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6PM ET
425 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-151.11
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
388 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
378 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
306 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-148.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
306 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
296 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.49
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
265 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-135.12
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8PM ET
264 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-76.56
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET
257 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-121.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
255 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$16.42Jul 10, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$12.38Jul 10, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$80.71Jul 10, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$31.47Jul 10, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$62.46Jul 10, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$48.72Jul 10, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$51.34Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$18.11Jul 10, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$15.59Jul 10, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$13.16Jul 10, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$14.75Jul 10, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$13.53Jul 10, 09:31 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$11.51Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.08Jul 4, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.76Jul 3, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$6.53Jul 3, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$6.40Jul 3, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$27.94Jul 3, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$30.36Jul 3, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$49.05Jul 3, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $35.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.