Loyal-Misrepresentation
0x3481e36c5a9fd065618691fbccc477ab02f28b89
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$4.04
Total PnL
$-14.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 26?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 26?$1.00Jan 26, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$1.00Jan 21, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$1.00Jan 15, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?$1.01Jan 7, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.01Jan 7, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 9?$1.01Jan 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 11?$1.01Jan 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMUSDT depeg in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMOver 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.02Jan 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMUniswap protocol fee switch enabled by June 30?$1.04Jan 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.05Jan 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$2.05Jan 7, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 7, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 11?$1.00Dec 11, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?$1.00Dec 8, 06:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $141.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".