Hilarious-Website
0x348ab5610496661baa046e68d20b3ee385f4268d
Wallet digest
Activity score
25/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.82
Realised
$-1.85
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
3095 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
774 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
410 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.91
- YES
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?
251 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
109 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.06
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
77 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$9.00Jul 7, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$10.00Jun 12, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$9.06Jun 11, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$20.86Jun 11, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?$15.48Jun 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$10.00Jun 11, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?$15.42Jun 11, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$20.00Jun 11, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $13.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.