Posh-Lobby
0x348d891a25a3439ab2b1d08cf2866118b5a6d641
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$5.27
Total PnL
$-390.57
Realised
$-2.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.93
$-48.07
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
25 shares @ 37.2¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.65
$-7.72
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.79
$-1.21
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-2.74
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-1.86
- YES
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-1.88
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1423 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
900 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$28.00Mar 8, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$20.00Feb 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$50.00Feb 28, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$10.81Feb 28, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$64.71Feb 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$3.00Jan 13, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$9.00Jan 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Jan 13, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by January 9?$13.45Jan 11, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 9?$8.61Jan 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$7.82Jan 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$1.00Dec 29, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Dec 29, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luke Humphries win the PDC World Darts Championship?$3.00Dec 29, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 29, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$2.00Dec 29, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?$1.00Dec 29, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".