Impartial-Shade-Tie
0x349e0751a91fd8cd9090c5a732b82cb9dd6445a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$46.19
Total PnL
$-251.71
Realised
$-2.34
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$8.18
$3.18
- YES
Will Mike Hurley win the 2026 Burnaby mayoral election?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$5.78
$0.78
- YES
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$5.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$5.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Brad Smith be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$4.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Team Falcons make CS2 EWC Grand finals?
8 shares @ 68.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.24
$-2.20
- YES
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$2.69
$-2.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
167 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?$4.76Aug 11, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$5.25Aug 11, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Falcons make CS2 EWC Grand finals?$0.68Aug 11, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Falcons make CS2 EWC Grand finals?$4.76Aug 11, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Smith be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?$5.02Aug 10, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Hurley win the 2026 Burnaby mayoral election?$5.04Aug 10, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?$5.05Aug 10, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?$5.05Aug 10, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?$5.04Aug 10, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?$5.10Aug 10, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLGrodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Michael Geerts$6.13Aug 4, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMHagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri Squire$11.92Aug 4, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Michael Geerts$10.15Aug 4, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri Squire$10.08Aug 4, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs United Arab Emirates$5.00Aug 3, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWarsaw: Amelia Paszun vs Weronika Falkowska$10.00Aug 3, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWarsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akugue$10.00Aug 3, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarsaw: Amelia Paszun vs Weronika Falkowska$8.76Aug 3, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan$6.71Aug 3, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs United Arab Emirates$7.30Aug 3, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 06:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.