Soft-Disarmament
0x34a7ca75d8fca2e2693d751483cac39686ad13f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$5.88
Total PnL
$-426.84
Realised
$-10.81
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$5.88
$2.88
- YES
Will Cole Palmer win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on August 20?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $114K on August 6 at 5PM ET?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 25?
39 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
36 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4400 on August 26 at 4PM ET?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 18?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $114K on August 7 at 5PM ET?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $112K on September 6 at 4PM ET?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-11-09?$1.00Nov 9, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?$3.00Nov 9, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?$1.00Nov 9, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2025-11-04?$1.00Nov 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. FC København end in a draw?$1.00Nov 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?$4.00Nov 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?$1.00Nov 3, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?$2.00Nov 3, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$3.57Nov 2, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?$5.00Nov 2, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$1.00Nov 1, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?$2.00Nov 1, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-01?$1.00Nov 1, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-02?$1.00Nov 1, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?$2.08Nov 1, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burnley FC win on 2025-10-26?$4.55Nov 1, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2025-10-26?$1.00Oct 26, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton win on 2025-10-26?$1.00Oct 26, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?$1.00Oct 26, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?$1.00Oct 24, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 14:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".