Warped-Variability
0x34a9b8ab09d930e9b14d01875e2364e3896a9e88
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-21.4K
Realised
$-324.68
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
872 shares @ 77.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$575.81
$-103.80
- JAPAN
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
400 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$298.00
$-2.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$292.50
$127.50
- YES
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
720 shares @ 36.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$291.46
$32.39
- YES
Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by June 30?
540 shares @ 25.2¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$143.10
$7.10
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2642 shares @ 7.6¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$130.78
$-69.67
- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
3039 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.19
$-34.98
- YES
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?
251 shares @ 41.6¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.44
$-58.09
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16 shares @ 2.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$0.42
- YES
Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?
74129 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.1K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.87Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$208.33Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$147.06Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5$156.25Jun 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$21.19Jun 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$57.38Jun 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$21.53Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.82Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.80Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.40Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$7.00Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$16.00Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.66Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$9.17Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$9.99Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.60Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$6.00Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.