Unwitting-Fixture
0x34ab99a9577028b83bfaaa2e6579ddb80f549d40
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$179.48
Total PnL
$-10.45
Realised
$1.86
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 23?
20 shares @ 89.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$18.73
$1.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on July 23?
17 shares @ 91.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$16.80
$0.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 23?
15 shares @ 88.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$15.45
$1.70
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 24?
11 shares @ 90.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$10.12
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 25?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 23?
10 shares @ 81.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$9.65
$1.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 23?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$8.33
$-1.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on July 23?
8 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$6.66
$-0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 23?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$6.13
$0.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 23?
6 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$5.86
$0.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 23?$0.20Jul 23, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 23?$1.96Jul 23, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 23?$0.29Jul 23, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 23?$1.24Jul 23, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 23?$1.17Jul 23, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 23?$1.12Jul 23, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 23?$0.53Jul 23, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 23?$0.27Jul 23, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$0.26Jul 23, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$0.60Jul 23, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 23?$0.66Jul 23, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 23?$3.98Jul 23, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 23?$3.99Jul 23, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$2.59Jul 23, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$2.60Jul 23, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$2.59Jul 23, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$2.59Jul 23, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$2.23Jul 23, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$0.43Jul 23, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 23?$0.30Jul 23, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 06:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.