Complicated-Colloquy
0x34ad75531aff1059a5bc66f2ae94c67f9a9ffc21
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.81
Total PnL
$-14.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?
181 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
114 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 6, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$1.00Mar 24, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?$1.00Mar 8, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Mar 7, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Mar 7, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?$1.00Mar 7, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?$1.00Mar 7, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$6.22Mar 2, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token on March 4?$1.00Mar 2, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$4.09Mar 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Mar 1, 23:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 21:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.