Zealous-Variable
0x34adebb61510e3f6e4aa13c81d39b0f639982058
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-221.56
Realised
$5.88
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
2469 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.22
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
242 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.65
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
198 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.78
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
75 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.37
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BLAZERS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
22 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
21 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$6.97Jul 14, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$4.01Jul 11, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$3.63Jul 11, 19:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $8.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.