Leading-Planet
0x34b79f4bc1439eb553f45363c4548a87562936e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-10.32
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
1611 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
841 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
674 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?
424 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?
361 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-26?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance$4.03Jun 29, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.72Jun 29, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11Jun 29, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.78Jun 29, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.39Jun 29, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.32Jun 29, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.49Jun 29, 22:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$4.05Jun 12, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 22:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.