Assured-Fourths
0x34d6554897563bde3d362ba84ba3121ec65ab166
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-84.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
669 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 5 launches in February?
664 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?
185 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.09
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
173 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-25.98
- YES
Will "War Machine" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
70 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "War Machine" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$3.41Mar 25, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.41Mar 25, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.52Mar 14, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$3.52Mar 14, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$4.23Feb 28, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$4.23Feb 28, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$25.98Feb 28, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$5.00Feb 28, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and JD Vance handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?$20.09Feb 19, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$10.00Feb 19, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?$10.09Feb 19, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?$13.13Feb 16, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$13.13Feb 16, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$15.06Feb 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$15.06Feb 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$52.00Feb 12, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$0.00Feb 9, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$30.00Feb 8, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$5.00Feb 8, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$5.00Feb 8, 10:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $15.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.