Repentant-Endoderm
0x34d7f4804046c35c51fc6eea5b55aea3575207ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$10.44
Total PnL
$-45.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.12
$0.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.33
$1.33
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
52 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.01May 24, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$1.04May 24, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.04May 24, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.87May 24, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$9.46Nov 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$36.00Aug 20, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$28.13Aug 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$10.00Jul 31, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$11.46Jul 31, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$9.00Jun 30, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$12.00Jun 30, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.00Jun 30, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 30, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus win the Serie A?$1.11Jun 30, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win La Liga?$1.14Jun 30, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.29Jun 30, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.32Jun 30, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.53Jun 30, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.70Jun 30, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.89Jun 30, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $13.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 23:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.