0x34dfaf5490d5e78ef85fe62bff8b507611ddba27
0x34dfaf5490d5e78ef85fe62bff8b507611ddba27
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$29.98
Total PnL
$-1.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$7.87
$-0.08
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$6.96
$-0.69
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
11 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.46
$0.06
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.74
$-0.06
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
8 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.16
$-0.12
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.79
$-0.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$8.14Jun 19, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$0.00Jun 19, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$7.84Jun 18, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?$12.59Jun 17, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?$3.25Jun 17, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?$10.13Jun 17, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$4.84Jun 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$5.51Jun 16, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?$8.18Jun 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?$2.01Jun 14, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$3.36Jun 14, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.50Jun 13, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?$8.16Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$2.55Jun 11, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $5.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.