Dazzling-Boat
0x34e1389c5ea6721b0545185ad2064ac802a590ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$121.23
Total PnL
$-49.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
69 shares @ 23.2¢·now 21.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$15.08
$-0.86
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
36 shares @ 38.4¢·now 39.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.15
$0.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 4?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$11.11
$6.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 5?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$9.91
$4.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 4?
21 shares @ 23.8¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$7.18
$2.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 6?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$6.86
$1.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 7?
17 shares @ 28.4¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$6.12
$1.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 7?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$5.55
$0.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
17 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.74
$0.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?$19.23Jul 3, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?$16.67Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 3?$6.67Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?$7.69Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?$5.07Jul 3, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?$5.07Jul 3, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 9?$5.26Jul 3, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$4.89Jul 3, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 7?$5.23Jul 3, 07:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 5?$0.65Jul 2, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 5?$1.45Jul 2, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 2?$18.52Jul 2, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?$6.25Jul 2, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?$19.23Jul 2, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?$5.27Jul 2, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 7?$5.08Jul 2, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?$3.50Jul 2, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?$1.58Jul 2, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 6?$1.90Jul 2, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.