Light-Exposure
0x350120766ed0e8ef3107da29d98b3a37c7d3b877
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-122.94
Realised
$2.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?
1255 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?
1027 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?
347 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in June?
127 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
115 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
114 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times July 4–11?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 4–11?
72 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel invade Iran before July?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2.14Feb 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$4.75Feb 28, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.