Mortified-Banking
0x35049691ac2271a9e11b7a113dc75a76ac58b645
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.01
Total PnL
$-0.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00Jun 8, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00Jun 8, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 8, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02Jun 8, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00May 4, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00May 4, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00May 4, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 23?$1.00May 4, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 23?$1.00May 4, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 24?$1.00May 4, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$1.01May 4, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$1.01May 4, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.01May 4, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 24?$1.01May 4, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $85 on April 2?$0.00Apr 23, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 3?$0.00Apr 23, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.35 on April 2?$0.00Apr 23, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 3?$0.00Apr 23, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 3?$0.00Apr 23, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3?$0.00Apr 23, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.