Fumbling-Reciprocity
0x3513297173c502ee00b956c192911d712b51eef2
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$40.39
Total PnL
$-123.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$10.52
$0.52
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$10.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- UP
Solana Up or Down on November 20?
26 shares @ 95.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on November 20?
23 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?
21 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 20?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?$5.32Feb 24, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs$5.62Feb 24, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 23?$10.01Feb 24, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?$5.00Feb 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 23?$10.00Feb 23, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs$5.00Feb 23, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?$10.00Feb 23, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 23, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 23, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.00Feb 23, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$4.00Feb 23, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.00Feb 23, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on November 20?$15.00Nov 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on November 20?$5.00Nov 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on November 20?$25.00Nov 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 20?$15.00Nov 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 20?$15.00Nov 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 20?$20.00Nov 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 20?$10.00Nov 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 20?$10.00Nov 20, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $10.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 02:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.