Married-Hour
0x351a53e95f06f207b8878f4b0d1ff7635556f836
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$190.13
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-14.11
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 29?
60 shares @ 31.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$53.40
$34.80
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
70 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$39.54
$-3.16
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
30 shares @ 78.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.55
$3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?
40 shares @ 46.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$25.60
$7.06
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
30 shares @ 61.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.05
$-2.25
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
70 shares @ 31.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.15
$-11.55
- YES
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.63
$-1.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 29?
94 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.76
$-15.05
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
40 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.16
$-22.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?$10.11Jul 29, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$1.11Jul 29, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$0.90Jul 29, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?$25.80Jul 29, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 28?$35.57Jul 29, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 29?$1.43Jul 29, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 29?$2.00Jul 29, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 29?$0.59Jul 29, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 29?$0.53Jul 29, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 29?$0.49Jul 29, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 29?$4.00Jul 29, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 29?$0.25Jul 29, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?$4.81Jul 29, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$0.40Jul 29, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$4.00Jul 29, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 29?$19.24Jul 29, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$0.22Jul 29, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$0.22Jul 29, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$0.41Jul 29, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$4.08Jul 29, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.