Cheerful-Exclamation
0x351bfe1f6ffa453aa709ec5d5716db9932fec2c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$37.19
Total PnL
$-5.80
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by July 31?
20 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$19.39
$-0.17
- NO
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?
20 shares @ 96.9¢·now 88.3¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$17.67
$-1.71
- NO
Will anyone say "Chart" during Rick and Morty E8 S9?
10 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.14
$0.04
- NO
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
50 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- NO
Will Delta Air Lines say "Premium" during earnings call?
30 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.09
- NO
Will Delta Air Lines say "Fuel" 5+ times during earnings call?
30 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will Delta Air Lines say "Corporate" during earnings call?
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week?
30 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
- NO
Will Delta Air Lines say "International" during earnings call?
30 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.09
- UP
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 10?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Chart" during Rick and Morty E8 S9?$0.09Jul 11, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by July 31?$19.54Jul 11, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by July 31?$19.52Jul 11, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by July 31?$19.56Jul 11, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon post "Texas" on X this week?$0.48Jul 11, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone say "Chart" during Rick and Morty E8 S9?$0.11Jul 11, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Chart" during Rick and Morty E8 S9?$0.11Jul 11, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?$19.38Jul 11, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone say "Chart" during Rick and Morty E8 S9?$0.29Jul 11, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Chart" during Rick and Morty E8 S9?$0.32Jul 11, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?$19.27Jul 11, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?$19.32Jul 11, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$0.48Jul 11, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$0.65Jul 11, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$16.50Jul 11, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.90Jul 11, 02:31 UTC
- REWARD$19.90Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 10?$0.02Jul 10, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 10?$19.20Jul 10, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 10?$19.22Jul 10, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.