Satisfied-Ambience
0x351c8464f1b232260c59d52e0f7984bdc4048cb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$7.29
Total PnL
$-4.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
4 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$3.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5$118.12Apr 25, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5$61.14Apr 23, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMGwangju: Hyeon Chung vs Clement Chidekh$61.13Apr 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGwangju: Hyeon Chung vs Clement Chidekh$15.71Apr 22, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$4.00Mar 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$4.00Mar 10, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.06Mar 10, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.84Mar 10, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.01Mar 10, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.00 in February?$7.04Mar 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 25, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 in February?$7.00Feb 25, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$4.00Feb 25, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$1.23Feb 25, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.72Feb 25, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.87Feb 25, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$2.24Feb 25, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$1.20Jan 30, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.60Jan 30, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.70Jan 30, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $8.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.