Unfinished-Dealing
0x35291afa00a5aea8aa77239f95d593a09b30fb0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$15.53
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$1.51
Win rate
32%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.85
$1.85
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?
102 shares @ 32.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.38
$-27.60
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-1.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.35
$-0.25
- YES
Will the match end in a draw?
330 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.83
- YES
Czechia vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime?
244 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-39.02
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 2, 2026?
224 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.76
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
223 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-138.26
- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of June 22 2026?
157 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-29.83
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
150 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?$93.01Aug 1, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$2.46Jun 30, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?$43.97Jun 26, 17:43 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.18Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
- REWARD$8.00Jun 26, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 25?$45.00Jun 25, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?$37.93Jun 25, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 25?$32.02Jun 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 25?$87.21Jun 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$139.00Jun 25, 18:57 UTC
- MERGEWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$46.00Jun 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$37.62Jun 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of June 22 2026?$2.20Jun 25, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of June 22 2026?$2.25Jun 25, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of June 22 2026?$2.20Jun 25, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of June 22 2026?$2.25Jun 25, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of June 22 2026?$2.25Jun 25, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of June 22 2026?$2.30Jun 25, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of June 22 2026?$2.30Jun 25, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of June 22 2026?$2.35Jun 25, 09:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
32% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $16.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.