0x3530df6b0d37b04624ce8df15c01af9f810ad99a
0x3530df6b0d37b04624ce8df15c01af9f810ad99a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-12.29
Win rate
0%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
1250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
29 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
26 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.02
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
25 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.02
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.02
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.02
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
21 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 6?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?$10.21Jul 7, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?$10.19Jul 7, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 7?$19.23Jul 7, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 7?$10.24Jul 6, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 6?$14.08Jul 6, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 6?$6.23Jul 5, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 6?$3.82Jul 5, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 6?$10.22Jul 5, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?$10.23Jul 5, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?$10.14Jul 5, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 4?$32.79Jul 4, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 4?$20.39Jul 3, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?$30.30Jul 3, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?$20.34Jul 1, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 28?$28.53Jun 28, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 27?$7.07Jun 28, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 27?$7.94Jun 28, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?$8.47Jun 28, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 27?$0.00Jun 28, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?$0.00Jun 28, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
68/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 73 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
73 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 22:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.