Polished-Llama
0x35385f3ef6c95f83fc18aae11462d3726950eac8
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$47.8K
Realised
$62.5K
Win rate
75%
93 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on February 2?
6860 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-670.61
- YES
Will the price of Solana be greater than $170 on February 2?
6860 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-670.61
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on February 2?
6860 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-670.61
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on February 2?
6860 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-670.61
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on February 2?
6860 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-670.61
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on February 4?
3927 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-312.21
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 2?
3842 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-375.56
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on February 5?
3575 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-654.16
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 19?
3399 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-18.69
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on February 4?
3396 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-380.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 6?$2.61Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on March 6?$24.00Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on March 7?$27.03Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 7?$50.00Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 5?$83.00Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 5?$90.18Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $30 on March 7?$100.00Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $50 on March 7?$100.00Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $0.80 on March 7?$100.00Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $40 on March 7?$100.00Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on March 7?$100.00Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 7?$100.00Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on March 7?$100.00Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on March 7?$100.00Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 6?$105.28Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on March 7?$133.33Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $120 on March 7?$133.33Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 6?$138.57Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on March 5?$145.07Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be less than $40 on March 5?$145.07Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
77/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 93 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
93 closed markets, 75% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 93 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.