Loving-Skill
0x353f74df60a4b67f821848efc1861346c78a1623
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$3.17
Total PnL
$-405.56
Realised
$-51.30
Win rate
0%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 22?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$3.17
$0.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10PM ET
500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 15?
300 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
182 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11PM ET
143 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
84 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4AM ET
83 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8PM ET
83 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
82 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 22?$3.04Aug 21, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 10?$5.22Aug 9, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 25?$2.10Jul 23, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 25?$5.18Jul 23, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 24?$5.22Jul 23, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?$15.46Jul 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 23?$0.02Jul 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 23?$5.39Jul 22, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?$5.37Jul 22, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 21?$10.20Jul 21, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 21?$0.10Jul 21, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 21?$5.13Jul 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 21?$10.40Jul 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?$10.18Jul 20, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?$7.40Jul 20, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?$3.11Jul 19, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?$5.13Jul 19, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?$5.36Jul 15, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?$5.36Jul 15, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?$5.33Jul 15, 15:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 45 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
45 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.