Waterlogged-Shame
0x3548b7aaa5908b9de6957e72dbb7e718dc445e51
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$6.22
Total PnL
$-127.44
Realised
$0.75
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.19
$0.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 4?
187 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.87
$0.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 4?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 4?
162 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.49
$-0.51
- BRUTE
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- HANJIN BRION CHALLENGERS
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 8?
537 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.009h ago
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.009h ago
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.009h ago
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.009h ago
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.499h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.069h ago
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.079h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.009h ago
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.079h ago
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.079h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.069h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.069h ago
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.009h ago
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.009h ago
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.069h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.079h ago
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.069h ago
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.069h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$1.039h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MAJIX ESPORTS vs Younglings (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage$1.039h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 19d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".