Questionable-Yogurt
0x35540aa2fb6ac134cb55919817b74605acbad825
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$-214.36
Win rate
4%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- FRANCE
Spread: France (-5.5)
11929 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-5.5)
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
8666 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-399.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
7025 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?
5756 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-4.5)
5556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
5544 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-216.12
- MEXICO
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)
5172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- SWITZERLAND
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)
4834 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-418.33
- UNITED STATES
Spread: United States (-3.5)
4641 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$10.74Aug 2, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$4.39Aug 2, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$134.00Aug 1, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$100.00Aug 1, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.26Jul 25, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$26.30Jul 25, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?$1.30Jul 25, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$2.58Jul 25, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$4.07Jul 25, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$36.66Jul 25, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$13.00Jul 23, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$200.00Jul 23, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$100.00Jul 23, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$171.00Jul 23, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$250.00Jul 23, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?$50.00Jul 23, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.29Jul 18, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.28Jul 18, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Olise: 2+ goals$104.77Jul 18, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 2+ assists$104.78Jul 18, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 74 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
74 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $67.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.