Junior-Contrary
0x355afbb8bb48ad13578bffa92cad590380aa5a46
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-389.07
Realised
$-7.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
86 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
67 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
56 shares @ 89.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
34 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-30.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
28 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-25.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
19 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-17.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$4.94Jul 17, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$4.66Jul 17, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$33.73Jul 17, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$32.18Jul 17, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$107.48Jul 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$100.56Jul 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$107.53Jul 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$100.56Jul 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$71.24Jul 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$67.80Jul 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$106.37Jul 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$100.49Jul 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$110.36Jul 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$101.00Jul 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$107.53Jul 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$100.56Jul 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$109.11Jul 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$100.65Jul 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$106.37Jul 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$100.49Jul 13, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $79.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 21:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.