0x35613b8eb6c19d6b5ad1e33271eab385cf8e0f7d
0x35613b8eb6c19d6b5ad1e33271eab385cf8e0f7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
188
Open notional
$40.95
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-80.30
Win rate
1%
185 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 188- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?
722 shares @ 9.7¢·now 3.1¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$22.37
$-47.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 16?
563 shares @ 5.3¢·now 3.3¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$18.58
$-11.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 9?
6708 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-259.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
3500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5AM ET
255 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$7.94Aug 15, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.24Aug 15, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$5.18Aug 15, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.04Aug 15, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.06Aug 15, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.21Aug 15, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$12.99Aug 15, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.37Aug 15, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$10.26Aug 15, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$5.37Aug 15, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$5.25Aug 15, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$6.67Aug 15, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$9.26Aug 15, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$5.14Aug 15, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$6.32Aug 15, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$5.15Aug 15, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$5.34Aug 15, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$5.29Aug 15, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$5.21Aug 15, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$5.14Aug 15, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 185 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
185 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 03:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 185 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.