Hefty-Discretion
0x35617630cfeb758776cf9ae12445f560db8b398c
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$147.06
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20?
98 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$98.04
$48.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET
49 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$49.02
$24.02
- NO
OpenAI social app in 2025?
1662 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?
39 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?
23 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app in 2025?$297.39Sep 22, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app in 2025?$45.88Sep 22, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app in 2025?$222.43Sep 22, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app in 2025?$48.74Sep 22, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app in 2025?$63.56Sep 22, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?$30.00Sep 7, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?$15.00Sep 7, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app in 2025?$400.00Sep 7, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$25.00Jul 19, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 20?$50.00Jul 19, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$17.24Jul 4, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$150.00Jul 4, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? $0.00Jul 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Richard Carapaz win the Giro d’Italia 2025?$40.45Jul 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMDiddy found guilty of sex trafficking?$95.24Jul 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMChampions League Final: 3+ goals?$98.04Jul 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$114.94Jul 4, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Carapaz win the Giro d’Italia 2025?$20.00May 28, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMFartcoin Up or Down on May 10?$0.00May 18, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100k in May?$0.00May 18, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $103.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 22, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.