0x356696f7ffec8098b53c62bd41235e5b56e51a8e
0x356696f7ffec8098b53c62bd41235e5b56e51a8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-160.63
Realised
$3.11
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 6?
893 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 7?
636 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?
338 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 7?
300 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?
295 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 7?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on June 2?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or below on June 1?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on June 12?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 7?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?$0.00Jun 15, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?$0.01Jun 15, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?$6.59Jun 15, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14?$0.00Jun 15, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14?$3.48Jun 15, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 14?$4.59Jun 15, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 15?$6.19Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14?$4.95Jun 14, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14?$0.00Jun 14, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 14?$0.00Jun 14, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14?$0.00Jun 14, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14?$1.18Jun 14, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 14?$1.39Jun 14, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14?$1.65Jun 14, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14?$1.21Jun 14, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 14?$1.30Jun 14, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14?$0.00Jun 14, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14?$0.00Jun 14, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14?$1.41Jun 14, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14?$1.34Jun 14, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 22:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.