Far-Flung-Affect
0x356a0cae3ba0c94855bdf4d73c6bec58b664606c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$9.74
Total PnL
$-683.92
Realised
$10.92
Win rate
55%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 14.6¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.31
$1.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on July 23?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.77
$0.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 23?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.68
$0.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 23?
229 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 23?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 23?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
219 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
122 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-47.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
107 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-66.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on July 23?$1.05Jul 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?$1.05Jul 22, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 22, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 23?$0.99Jul 22, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 22, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 22, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 22, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 22?$5.91Jul 22, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 22?$2.47Jul 22, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?$2.47Jul 22, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?$1.51Jul 21, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 22?$1.56Jul 21, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$2.20Apr 25, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$2.54Apr 25, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.20Apr 25, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.00Apr 25, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.00Apr 25, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
40 closed markets, 55% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 13:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.