Small-Socialist
0x356ae4a28049f5c0e3a3ba36b8b7b12e50e2d352
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-660.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
1866 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?
1234 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
566 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?
377 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ajax Amsterdam vs. Inter end in a draw?
250 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?$100.00Sep 21, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle win on 2025-09-21?$138.74Sep 21, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?$100.00Sep 21, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?$100.00Sep 21, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win on 2025-09-21?$100.00Sep 21, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?$100.00Sep 21, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?$20.00Sep 20, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?$20.00Sep 20, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win on 2025-09-20?$122.22Sep 20, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?$131.48Sep 20, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMCS: PARIVISION vs Ninjas in Pyjamas$0.00Sep 20, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: XLG vs SEN$0.00Sep 20, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: PSG vs TSW$22.00Sep 20, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?$50.00Sep 20, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-09-20?$100.00Sep 20, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMCS: PARIVISION vs Ninjas in Pyjamas$37.74Sep 20, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: XLG vs SEN$0.00Sep 20, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: XLG vs SEN$76.92Sep 20, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCS: PARIVISION vs Ninjas in Pyjamas$20.00Sep 19, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: XLG vs SEN$20.00Sep 19, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $72.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 21, 15:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.