Petty-Dolor
0x356e8b7b82831800c5738c18936e203e21bd75b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$550.30
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1443 shares @ 45.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$497.77
$-152.23
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
553 shares @ 54.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.53
$-247.47
- YES
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
1094 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-420.00
- YES
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?
417 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
283 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
125 shares @ 79.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$100.00Jun 20, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$100.00Jun 20, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$100.00Jun 17, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$149.25Jun 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$100.00Mar 21, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?$0.00Mar 18, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$50.00Mar 17, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$50.00Mar 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$56.86Mar 15, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$61.04Mar 15, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$71.43Mar 12, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?$101.73Mar 12, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$51.73Mar 8, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$11.25Mar 8, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$14.81Mar 8, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$50.00Mar 7, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$100.00Mar 7, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$0.00Mar 6, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?$100.00Mar 6, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$221.11Mar 6, 04:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $87.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 21:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 11:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.