Thorny-Rancher
0x357c49f725377162a1ff7d315dd6a4ad89fec81f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.04
Total PnL
$-0.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
4 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$4.24
$0.24
- NO
MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?
4 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$4.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$1.00Feb 7, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$3.00Feb 7, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Feb 7, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$1.00Feb 7, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?$4.00Feb 7, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$4.00Feb 7, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.09Feb 2, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?$5.07Jan 17, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.14Jan 17, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?$6.28Jan 17, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.14Jan 15, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?$6.29Jan 15, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?$5.05Jan 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.72Jan 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.14Jan 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?$6.25Jan 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?$6.25Jan 12, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.15Jan 12, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.74Jan 12, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?$5.63Jan 9, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.