Capital-Likelihood
0x357e2e495509635eb8be9c8713708210be963ac0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-177.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 14?
200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 24?
182 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?
160 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?
132 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 19-25?
108 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 20?
105 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3AM ET
101 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of April 13 2026?
92 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 23?
91 shares @ 90.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-82.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?
81 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 31?$156.03Jun 1, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?$1.41May 31, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 31?$153.22May 30, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$2.05May 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$2.89May 21, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$155.05May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$152.10May 18, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?$2.11May 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?$3.13May 13, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$149.69May 10, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$147.29May 10, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 31?$123.43Apr 30, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 20?$2.27Apr 19, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 12?$0.00Apr 19, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of April 13 2026?$1.54Apr 17, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.45 on April 11?$1.37Apr 12, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 23?$0.00Apr 12, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 13?$0.00Mar 31, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 31?$122.07Mar 30, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on March 27?$0.00Mar 30, 19:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $40.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.