0x358b29b4adf221e3745b484aacde8c98b04b07ff
0x358b29b4adf221e3745b484aacde8c98b04b07ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$9.07
Total PnL
$-10.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021?
3 shares @ 63.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2021$3.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 46, 2021 (Nov 15 - Nov 21)?
2 shares @ 86.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2021$2.31
$0.31
- YES
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2021$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud?
1 shares @ 88.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.13
$0.13
- LESS THAN 20M
What will the “Official Edition” of the United States Constitution sell for at Sotheby’s?
1608 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2021$0.48
$0.48
- YES
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
405 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2021$0.00
$-8.32
- YES
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution?
217 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- DUNE
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi?
66 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021?
6 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2021$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.