Radiant-Bower
0x35928f3e271503978558848dcd8afd9ede0d8904
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$12.71Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$12.70Jul 8, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?$92.69Jun 15, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?$92.51Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$2.22Jun 15, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?$94.69Jun 8, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?$94.60Jun 7, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$94.59Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$94.50May 30, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$2.22May 30, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$96.60May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$96.51May 25, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$96.60May 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$96.50May 20, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$96.60May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$96.50May 14, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$96.50May 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$96.40May 11, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$2.10May 11, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?$98.50May 9, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $67.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.