Pointed-Dispute
0x35968c47c071877e9fefefdad8d2b0b376536c81
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$81.42
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$25.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
100 shares @ 39.5¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$37.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Tim Merlier be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
400 shares @ 29.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$34.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will Juan Ayuso win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
120 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$4.80
$0.00
- YES
Will Florian Lipowitz finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$2.29
$0.76
- YES
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?
6 shares @ 38.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$1.98
$-0.20
- YES
Will Paul Seixas finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$1.35
$0.19
- YES
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
7734 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-85.94
- YES
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.40
- NO
Tour de France 2025: Will 145+ riders finish?
1486 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-226.64
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
1358 shares @ 67.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-915.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$18.00Jul 9, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Ayuso win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$1.53Jul 9, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Ayuso win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$2.12Jul 9, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Ayuso win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$0.04Jul 9, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Ayuso win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$1.12Jul 9, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Ayuso win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$0.00Jul 8, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Lipowitz finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$0.57Jul 8, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Lipowitz finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$0.95Jul 8, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Seixas finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$1.17Jul 7, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Merlier be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$26.00Jul 7, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Merlier be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$31.64Jul 5, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?$2.22Jul 5, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Merlier be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$63.28Jul 5, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$12.90Jul 5, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$8.60Jul 5, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.89Jun 29, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.88Jun 29, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03Jun 28, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.50Jun 28, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.49Jun 28, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.