Yellow-Dispatch
0x35996096158a7972be938cbdcab259960ee7102a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-280.64
Realised
$3.82
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
2000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?
1315 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.26
- ABYSSAL
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
613 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
600 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
400 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
199 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-49.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
189 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
93 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$0.02Apr 22, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.33Apr 21, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$13.23Apr 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5.00Apr 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.92Apr 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$10.00Apr 21, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$54.03Apr 21, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$50.00Apr 21, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.00Apr 21, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.39Apr 21, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.14Apr 21, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.57Apr 21, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$6.40Apr 21, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.00Apr 21, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.89Apr 21, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.00Apr 21, 05:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $29.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 04:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.