Absolute-Regulator
0x359a9dfb059c941b79d60527d0abfc701af5deac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will May 2024 show an increase of less than 1.03C?
12500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2024 meeting?
6663 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5689 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will another team win the 2024 Euros?
2716 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 June meeting?
2678 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross less than $110m opening weekend?
2349 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?
1520 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-59.00
- YES
Will E*Trade kick Keith Gill off platform by Friday?
1157 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Karen Read guilty of murder?
1063 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-68.44
- YES
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross less than $105m on 5-day opening weekend?
977 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: July$0.00Oct 7, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?$0.00Oct 7, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$0.00Oct 7, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: July$40.00Jul 10, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: July$49.50Jul 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$100.00Jul 8, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$100.00Jul 8, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?$62.00Jul 8, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?$59.00Jul 8, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West join the America Party?$20.00Jul 8, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: July$75.00Jul 8, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$100.00Jul 8, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$710.60Nov 2, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$750.00Oct 16, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$180.00Aug 23, 02:38 UTC
- REWARD$0.49Aug 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?$7.36Aug 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$21.12Aug 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant in 2024?$4.43Aug 2, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?$48.00Aug 2, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $88.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 7, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.