Inexperienced-Standard
0x35a46b880c70d2eeebf5390ff630e4dd11995e8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.10
Total PnL
$-10.52
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$-0.01
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 29?
4200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 29?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.01Feb 2, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.00Feb 2, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.00Jan 31, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 30, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 29?$2.10Jan 29, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$4.99Jan 27, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$6.00Jan 26, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELL1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$4.88Jan 25, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUY1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$6.00Jan 25, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$4.97Jan 25, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 22, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$5.97Jan 22, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 29?$2.10Dec 29, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 29?$2.10Dec 29, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 29?$2.10Dec 29, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 10:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.