Severe-Basement
0x35adc9daf2e96907a9a27afcde8398586dfaba14
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- CINCINNATI
Spread: TCU (-3.5)
23312 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.1K
- 76ERS
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)
57 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.08
- YES
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-19?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- MARINERS
Mariners vs. Athletics
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 29?$10.02Nov 30, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 29?$10.00Nov 29, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: TCU (-3.5)$6.1KNov 29, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: TCU (-3.5)$6.0KNov 29, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: 76ers (-3.5)$25.08Oct 31, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-19?$10.00Sep 19, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMariners vs. Athletics$1.43Jul 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMNationals vs. Dodgers$3.58Jul 30, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNationals vs. Dodgers$2.65Jun 22, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 22, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMRed Sox vs. Tigers$0.00Jun 22, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Sox vs. Tigers$1.30May 13, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00May 13, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00May 13, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Grizzlies$4.86May 13, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Grizzlies$3.40Apr 18, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Apr 18, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Apr 18, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. Cavaliers$23.45Apr 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Cavaliers$21.57Mar 11, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $477.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.